We look to go 8-1 tonight in our last 9 free plays and have a great spot to back a road team in the SEC. Many people are down on Kentucky after they’ve now lost two in a row and 3 of 4 games. Because of this, oddsmakers have them as only 8.5-point favorites against Vanderbilt tonight. Why the value? Vandy is a really bad team this year. They’re just 1-7 in conference play and 6-15 overall, making for a 2nd last position in the conference. This matchup could go south VERY quickly for them if they don’t defend Kentucky’s guard play. The Wildcats are elite offensively with Reeves starting and Dillingham coming off the bench to lead the way in scoring. People tend to overreact to injuries on betting spreads and we like this line whether the Wildcats get D.J. Wagner from his ankle injury or not. One of the major keys in this matchup is style of play. Vanderbilt relies a lot on 1:1 scoring, and they’re not talented to beat Kentucky at their own game. The Commodores are 353rd in the nation in assists, averaging less than 10/game as a team. When Vanderbilt loses, it’s usually not a close game. Their last 4 losses were by 27, 13, 13, and 15 points, respectively. Several of these were to teams worse than Kentucky. We love this spot for a big win - Take Kentucky -8.5! Let’s be sharp!
